Gilbert Burns vs Shawn Brady Fight Prediction

Former UFC welterweight title challenger Gilbert Burns is going through hard times and is on a decline. Often, veterans in this position are left to be torn apart by matchmakers for younger prospects, and Shawn Brady, who he will fight in the main event of UFC Fight Night 242, is just such a guy. The matchup will take place at the Apex in Las Vegas on September 8, and the Brazilian holds the No. 6 spot in the rankings.

• Gilbert Burns vs Shawn Brady;
• Gilbert Burns;
• Shawn Brady;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Gilbert Burns vs Shawn Brady

Gilbert Burns

As mentioned earlier, Gilbert is the 6th number in the welterweight division. Durinho is in perfect order with BJJ, because he is not only a world champion, but also a second-dan black belt in this type of martial arts. Burns has repeatedly put on the best fights, for which he received bonuses, became a contender for the UFC belt, but they were never able to crown him - he failed the most important fights in his career.

Strengths

The Brazilian has it all: wrestling, jiu-jitsu, good striking technique, and most importantly – a heavy punch and speed. Gilbert works with explosive series and changes the levels of attacks with lightning speed. Keeping him on the floor and ending up on top is almost impossible, but the former challenger himself was able to control and change positions, and also set the heat in exchanges.

Weaknesses

Literally in one moment, Burns lost his stamina, and now, receiving damage, he begins to slow down, lose the offensive initiative, and what is even worse - he does not try to dry the fight, but on the contrary, aggravates the situation, letting in even more. With elite-level wrestlers, of course, Gilbert does not work so confidently from below, moreover, by the 3rd round, if the meeting is extremely dense, he can sag functionally.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The athlete is 38 years old, he lost his last two fights, losing to Belal Muhammad and Jack Della Maddalena. Having defeated strikers: Neil Money, Masvidal and Thompson, Burns remained afloat, but when facing parterists, he begins to look unconvincing. Now, the Brazilian increasingly talks about the title race, that is, his motivation is in order, but the knockout loss in March hardly adds confidence that Gilbert will suddenly find a second youth.

Shawn Brady

Sean is the 8th ranked fighter and a bright representative of the BJJ style. He has a black belt in this discipline, and in the past the American held the title of the Cage Fury FC organization. What is noteworthy is that the fighter started with Muay Thai, so he knows something in the stand-up, and he demonstrated this not only in the welterweights, but also in the lightweights, since he began his professional career at 70 kg.

Strengths

Brady has good kicks and a knockout punch, although he mostly has to deal with the opposition on the ground. Very good statistics on transfers, complemented by confident ground and pound, as well as an impressive base of techniques. What is no less important - the guy has excellent cardio, and for 3 intense rounds, it is always enough.

Weaknesses

As the fight with Belal Muhammad showed, if Sean has no opportunity to wrestle and is constantly under pressure, anything can happen. If the current champion was able to outbox him and even finish him, then the next opponent, with a good partner, will have such a chance. Especially since Brady's defense in the stand-up is far from perfect.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Sean is 31 years old and was undefeated before the fight with Belal. At the moment, he has victories over Michael Chiesa, Kelvin Gastelum, Kurt McGee and others. The fighter is on a good run, and if we don’t talk about confrontations with the elite, then he shows himself very confidently. In this case, there is also the possibility of fighting someone from the Top 5 at stake, in case of triumph, so Sean will show all his trump cards for the sake of victory.

Comparative analysis

The guys' anthropometric data are almost identical. Taking into account their styles, it is quite possible that the fighters will spend a lot of time standing, since it will be very difficult to control and beat Burns on the ground, while it is too energy-consuming for him to spend energy on holding Sean and earning points in positional fighting.

On the hands, their work rate is almost identical, and there are plenty of gaps in defense. It follows that as soon as the first heavy hits begin from one of the sides, clinches and work at the net will begin. Probably, explosive work at the start from the Brazilian will bear more fruit, but functionally, Brady is better prepared, and he takes punches more confidently. Moreover, if he can withstand the pressure at the beginning, after the equator of the fight, he can load tightly himself and really drag such a "Durinho" down to finish off.

But Burns has never lost with holds, so the American will have to first execute the plan perfectly in the stand-up, otherwise he can eat his fill of punches, like from Belal, and lose the slightest hint of taking the initiative. Therefore, the fight will roll to the equator, and when Gilbert gets tired, Sean can turn on 100%. But will he get to that point? After all, the chances of winning, regardless of the odds, are closer than ever.

Gilbert Burns vs Shawn Brady Prediction

Yes, Gilbert has two losses in a row, but on the other hand, to whom? He worked with Belal for 25 minutes, while Brady gave up in the third period. This is not an indicator, but still. Burns is very difficult, and the main trump card of the prospect - wrestling, will not be as effective as with strikers. So, both will have to sweat, and before identifying the winner, it is worth paying attention to the bet on the total rounds, since Total over (2.5) may be the best choice. Otherwise, there is a feeling that the bet on the underdog here is appropriate, given his experience and the lack of a global advantage on the ground for Brady. Download 1xbet to your phone and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total over (2.5) by rounds