Prediction for the fight Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

After a disastrous 2024, Sergey Pavlovich returns to the UFC Fight Night 250 tournament in Saudi Arabia to make a name for himself again in a fight with Jairzinho Rozenstruik at TheVenue arena. Two finishers will meet in the cage, but who will be able to deliver their blow faster than their opponent on February 1?

• Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik;
• Sergey Pavlovich;
• Jairzinho Rozenstruik;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Sergey Pavlovich

Sergey is number 4 in the rating. Before us is the world champion in universal and hand-to-hand combat, former champion of Fight Nights, and the winner of a number of awards for "Performance of the Night" from the UFC, where he has already tried himself in a fight for the interim title.

Pavlovich's bets on a victory have failed twice in a row. First, he was taken apart by Tom Aspinall, then by Alexander Volkov, although before that, he was on a six-fight win streak, where he finished off Blaydes, Tuivasa and Lewis.

Strengths

Sergey is more accustomed to fighting as the first number. After a short starting reconnaissance, with an abundance of single blows, he begins to turn on his combos and turn off the defense, literally crashing into the opposition in series. Often, pressure and speed allowed him to win quickly, but recently, such tactics have increasingly failed.

Weaknesses

The fight with Volkov showed that Pavlovich has serious problems with switching between game plans, if his team developed one for Drago at all. The open visor during attacks only led to an increase in the damage received, and the overall functionality in a protracted fight turned out to be insufficient to withstand a high-speed opponent.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Sergey is 32 years old, and in 2024, he has performed only once, being in idle since June. In the above-mentioned meeting, he missed a lot, so such a break definitely came in handy. I want to believe that conclusions have been made, and in the future he will conduct his performances more thoughtfully, since there are no questions about physics here. It remains to pump up the strategy.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

"Big Boy" is ranked 9th in the rating table. After 85 kickboxing fights, Rozenstruik decided to retrain as an MMA fighter, and after only 6 professional fights, he made it to the UFC. Here he collected several bonuses, fought back 14 times and has already added 5 defeats to his record.

After the knockout from Ngannou, Jairzinho failed to win bets in fights with Gane, Blaydes, Volkov and a strong fighter – Almeida. However, in two last outings, he beat Shamil Gaziev and Tai Tuivasa, managing to secure a place in the Top-10.

Strengths

Rozenstruik is getting better at long range, minimizing the exchanges he used to engage in, wanting to end the fight as quickly as possible. Lots of kicks, movement, and attacks have probably increased the number of referee decisions in his career, but they have not deprived the guy of knockout power, and they have also kept him healthy.

Weaknesses

Of course, with such a base, it is hard for the Surinamese to show good results on the ground, even though his takedown defense is fine. And sometimes, when switching to work as the second number, he does not hold the block in place, allowing himself to be taken out - from there he has already suffered 2 knockout losses.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Jairzinho is 36 years old and has firmly established himself as a gatekeeper. There is no point in talking about championship ambitions here, given who is at the top, but he is still capable of weeding out the “unworthy”. He is a smart, sometimes cunning counter-puncher who quickly switches to the aggressor mode. He has experience in protracted confrontations and sprints, so it is definitely not worth writing him off as a “victim” – he has a complete order with knockout power.

Comparative analysis

Pavlovich has an absolute advantage in arm span, but given his past experience, there is a feeling that in this particular case, it will not work, since his distance is average. Plus, Jairzinho pays a lot of attention to reconnaissance, and quickly leaves the attack line as soon as things start to smell hot.

Most likely, at the start he will use only low kicks, so that Sergey has fewer reasons to get closer and discharge in series. However, sooner or later the reconnaissance will end, and then the same counterplay from "Big Boy" will come into play. He meets opponents well and does not stop moving, and this will definitely create a similar picture for the Russian meeting with Volkov.

At the same time, Pavlovich is also fast enough, and his long series will help to pin the mobile Surinamese at the net and confirm the bookmakers' odds. Then it's a matter of technique. Both allow themselves to miss, and Sergey, as practice has shown, even more often, and this gives reason to believe that the fight can drag on, but it will not reach the final gong with such a high probability.

Sergey Pavlovich vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Prediction

Despite the bookmakers' odds and Sergey's frequent lightning-fast victories, in this particular case it is not worth relying on it. Jairzinho has serious experience as a striker behind him, so he can be eliminated either using Ngannou's method, which is quite normal for Pavlovich, or by cleverly and systematically interrupting, like the same Cyril Gane.

And to protect yourself, you can bet on this fight with a bonus from the bookmaker 1xbet, since you can bet here on both an early end to the meeting and on the favorite's victory. At the same time, I repeat, it is possible that Rozenstruik will "wheel" to the decision. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total over (2.5) by rounds/Victory of Sergei Pavlovich