Randy Brown vs Nicholas Dalby Fight Prediction

There's a big showdown brewing at welterweight as Randy Brown takes on the age-defying Nicholas Dalby in a major test. Their fight will grace UFC on ESPN 66 on April 27. Will Randy have the power in his hands to stop this monster?

Randy Brown vs Nicholas Dalby

Randy Brown

Brown started with boxing, smoothly moved to MMA, and now proudly wears a black belt in BJJ. Although his main thing is to smash faces in the standing position. With painstaking work, he earned the title of Ring of Combat champion, and distinguished himself in the UFC with victories over Francisco Trinaldo, Muslim Salikhov, and Eliseu Dos Santos.

Bets on his victory in fights with Jack Della Maddalena and Bryan Battle did not come in. With the rest, Brown was really good - due to anthropometry, he makes opponents suffer if they remain at a long distance.

Strengths

Height, arm length, the presence of a heavy punch along with tactical thinking and good jiu-jitsu, open up serious room for maneuver for Randy. At the same time, he confidently defends against takedowns, albeit not everywhere, and most importantly, he skillfully uses his strength, not getting into exchanges where it will not bring him benefit.

Weaknesses

The weaknesses of the "Rude Boy" appear where he is forced to operate at an uncomfortable distance. With such leverage, it is really difficult to fight at the fence from a defensive position. Dependence on space is a problem that fans of fighting in a stand-up position have always encountered, are encountering, and will always encounter.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Randy is 34 years old, overall he is in good shape and only loses to worthy opposition. He will have no problem in a 15 minute fight, plus he is much younger and really wants to get back to winning. Therefore, having enough time to rest after the defeat and prepare for a new challenge, I have no way to doubt his readiness.

Randy Brown vs Nicholas Dalby

Nicholas Dalby

Dalby is a karateka by nature, and that hasn't stopped him from collecting three European-style league titles. He has some knowledge of BJJ, but standing is Nicholas' bread and butter, and he won't give it up to anyone.

Four bets on his victory in the last 5 fights came in without problems, and some are convinced that he also beat Rinat Fakhretdinov - the decision was close and quite controversial. At his honorable 40 years, this man looks as if he is ready to fight for another 3-5 years.

Strengths

Despite his external power, Nicholas wins by decisions and KO/TKO/Submissions in approximately equal proportions. He perfectly implements almost any tasks in the stand-up, but only at medium-close range, since from a long distance, he threatens only with kicks. In clinches, he hits a lot and hard, therefore he willingly gets involved in tight fights and work near the net.

Weaknesses

With age, his defense has noticeably sagged on all fronts, although he was mediocre in his defense against takedowns, and only when he was bigger than his opponent (Fakhretdinov will not let me lie). In 31 fights, he has never lost ahead of schedule, but at the same time, the lack of a proper level of wrestling does not give him a chance to break strikers of a higher class.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

In November, Dalby will turn 41 – a very respectable age for the 77 kg division. What condition is Nicholas in now? He is consistently good, has maintained approximately the same speed, cardio and physicality for the last three years. Now, he will meet a similar all-rounder with a bias towards striking, so the old man will finally have a place to roam.

Comparative analysis

Randy is two steps ahead in height and reach, although it doesn't really matter because even if they were identical in size, Dalby would still force him into clinches. That's the crux of the matter: Will the veteran break through the barrage of punches on the inside, or will Brown "out-poke" him, leaving him with nothing?

Essentially, the European needs to endure the hits, which he does skillfully, and press Randy to the net, where an active clinch will allow him to score points. Otherwise, sharp kicks and stinging jabs will gradually open up cuts on his face and by the end of the fight, we will see a red canvas instead of Nicholas's face.

No one has been able to knock out Dalby yet, and the finish rate of the "Rude Boy" suggests that he will not become "the one". The situation here is mirrored, and there is a high probability that the battle will drag on, regardless of who imposes their style.

Randy Brown vs Nicholas Dalby Prediction

Randy can be credited with the status of favorite as much as you like, but Nicholas is too difficult to give the victory to Brown so easily. Yes, it can happen - the Jamaican has all the tools for a rout from a distance. However, there is that very "but" that does not give rest: will Dalby not push through all the attempts of his opponent to fight from afar, as the same Battle did?

As mentioned earlier, an early victory is not very likely here, so I expect a long, viscous fight, where Brown can win due to his higher work rate, but I really want to believe that Nicholas will show unprecedented activity in close combat and the judges will give him the victory. It will be loud. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Total Over (2.5) by rounds/Early end of the fight – no.

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