Prediction for the fight Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopez

Diego Lopez, now a title challenger for the second time, will face Alexander Volkanovski again on February 1st in the main event of UFC 325. This time, they'll fight in the champion's home city of Australia, making the duel even more intense.

• Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopez;
• Alexander Volkanovski;
• Diego Lopez;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopez

Alexander Volkanovski

"The Great One" has a colossal number of achievements: a two-time UFC champion, holder of five championship belts in regional Australian promotions, a black belt in jiu-jitsu, "Fighter of the Year" and a Top 5 holder in a number of UFC records.

In his last five fights, the odds on him to win were off three times: twice against Makhachev and once against Topuria. But he also beat Rodriguez and Lopez, and before that, he had already racked up a winning streak of over 20 victories, eliminating the best of the best.

Strengths

Alex has already proven himself to be good at everything, and often struggled against opponents of equal skill who were bigger and hit harder. By upping the tempo, throwing a ton of kicks and punches, and tying his opponents up in clinches and on the ground, Volkanovski managed to outclass the true monsters of the industry.

Weaknesses

Age and a couple of tough knockouts are the champion's main problems. If not for the broken jaw, which Makhachev and Topuria managed to do, he would still look unshakable. However, the almost constant knockdowns in his fights indicate a gradual loss of stamina.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The people's favorite is 37 years old; he's been on hiatus since April 2025, when he defeated Lopez. It's actually a good thing he's taking breaks at his age—they're timely. There's no question about Alexander's desire to continue; he still has a couple of challenges he's ready to take on. The only thing that could hinder him now is that jaw, which is no longer ready to handle the weight being offered.

Diego Lopez

The Brazilian is ranked number two. In his youth, he was a champion of the Mexican leagues LUX, JFL, XFL, and similar "small towns," earned a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ), and earned recognition in the UFC.

After losing to Evloev, he brought us 5 bets on his victory, stumbled against Volkanovski, but made amends in the match against Gene Silva.

Strengths

Considering Lopez is also a versatile fighter, his chaotic nature in the octagon doesn't hinder him at all; on the contrary, it leaves opponents unsure where to expect trouble. His incredibly strong mind neutralizes defensive lapses, allowing Diego to trade blows, push forward, absorbing punches, and engaging in close combat on the ground.

Weaknesses

The Mexican-Brazilian has repeatedly demonstrated his mastery of punches. He bounces back from them, but doesn't get knocked out, but how long will his jaw forgive him for that? Even raising his hands doesn't improve his defense, and his directness only makes matters worse.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The 31-year-old is eager for revenge and to prove that he simply couldn't get going in time the first time. The challenger is heading into enemy territory, so his frenzy and aggressive style should help him focus solely on his opponent. And that aforementioned chin will cover him if necessary.

Comparative analysis

Judging by their previous match, our analysis was correct: as soon as Alexander had his back to the net and didn't move, Diego would overwhelm him with heavy punches and even drop him. No one doubted Volkanovski would be hard-hitting, and Jean Silva also managed to rock the Brazilian several times, so expecting any significant improvements in his defense is completely unrealistic—not in this case.

Essentially, Alex needs to change his minimum, adding even more movement and not sticking with Lopez at medium-close range. However, that's very difficult, as Lopez is so eager to fight.

Don't expect any radically new techniques from either fighter: Diego isn't interested, and Volkanovski has been fighting the same way for years. A bit of ground and pound, clinches, and some stand-up pursuits—that's what we'll see. But this time, Lopez will know he won't be knocked down by the champion's punches, so a storm is brewing.

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopez Prediction

Alexander will have all of Australia behind him, which will place even more responsibility on him. There's a strong feeling that his fans will need a little narcotic, and this time, the likelihood of an early finish is even higher. Furthermore, there were many difficult moments in their first fight, difficult for "The Great One," which casts doubt on the title holder.

Still, we hope the champion lasts until the third round. Only the fight itself will reveal how mobile he is afterward and whether he can withstand his opponent's onslaught. 1xbet have a number of good offers, and we suggest taking a chance on a stoppage from Lopez (he's incredibly motivated to take the belt from the champion at home), and also betting on the length of the fight. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Round 3 will begin/Total Over (1.5-2.5)/Diego Lopez to win