Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Fight Prediction

Welterweight champion Belal Muhammad will make his first title defense against Jack Della Maddalena on May 11 in the main event of UFC 315. Some see Jack as a worthy contender, but there is a feeling that he is being overpaid, and that is easy to prove based on the facts in this prediction.

• Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena;
• Belal Muhammad;
• Jack Della Maddalena;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena

Belal Muhammad

Belal is number 7 in the P4P rating. Since the last fight, he has switched from a purple to a black belt in jiu-jitsu. Previously, he held the Titan FC league title, and now he will defend his UFC gold for the first time, for which he prepared not only in his gym, but also by working with the guys from Nurmagomedov's team.

Muhammad has pleased bettors who have been betting on his victory for 10 times in a row (one fight with Edwards "failed", we will not count it). In recent fights he has walked over Sean Brady, Burns and the same Leon, still demonstrating progress in skills.

Strengths

Belal has seriously improved his striking technique, and now, in addition to pressure and wrestling, he has also added a good density of hits, along with kicks. The quality of his grappling has noticeably improved, and if earlier there were difficulties with takedowns, now his transfers look better and better. Well, at the ground level, there were no questions about his skills.

Weaknesses

The main complaint about Muhammad is his boring style. But this "moment" is far from the biggest minus, since the champion has difficulties with defense in the stance, especially in those rare cases when he has to work from defense. So, experienced strikers can play on this.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

"Remember the name" is an older fighter - he is already 36 years old, but so far there are no signs of aging in him. Belal approaches his first defense in excellent shape and is ready to move up to middleweight, which speaks of his motivation to move only forward. Therefore, we expect a quality performance from the champion.

Jack Della Maddalena

Giacomo - that's the name of this fighter, whose name was adapted to the Western "base" Jack, is on the 5th line of the rating. Initially, he was a rugby player, but never broke his Top Dog, switched to boxing, and then MMA. Now he has already reached the level of a black belt in BJJ, and also champion in the regional leagues RF and EMMA.

Maddalena has now won 17 fights in a row against those who were betting on him, and in his last fights he proved his worth in confrontations with Randy Brown (he choked him out), had a close fight with Hafez, the same with Holland, and then finished Gilbert Burns, having experienced a lot of problems.

Strengths

Jack is considered one of the top strikers and his boxing is really dangerous. Always high raised hands, sharp jab and well-timed combinations create difficulties for the opposition. The Australian is good at working as the first number, and at the same time, he is quite tough on the floor – ground and pound is fine here.

Weaknesses

Maddalena has a huge gap in takedown defense - a tired Burns knocked him down and even took his back without much difficulty. Jack lost that fight, but a thrown knee turned the meeting around. Della crumbles under pressure, and ahead of him there is a fight with someone who builds his game plan on this.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The guy is only 28 years old, and looking at his path to the title, you can’t say that he got it undeservedly. However, having barely defeated the Brazilian, he looks “not so good” against the background of the Top-3. He definitely should have passed another test in the person of the monotonous Leon, or tried his luck in a fight with Brady or Shavkat. But no, the UFC decided to throw him under the champion, and in the upcoming fight, after a little more than a year of inactivity, he will have to show some incredible progress in takedown defense.

Comparative analysis

With the same height, Maddalena has a reach that is 2.5 cm longer. His main trump card is boxing, but will it work so well under the pressure of Belal, who has been paying a lot of attention to striking technique in the current camp? Probably not, because Muhammad will not bend under jabs, like the punched Burns, but will only pick up the pace and crush Jack at the net.

Takedowns may be a bit of a challenge early on while the challenger is fresh, and even then, it's unlikely. Unless he's trained with Olympians in the last 14 months. Simply put, if Della can't keep the fight standing, or Belal doesn't decide to do it himself, he'll be run over on the ground. I literally don't see any chance for Jack to get a foothold, considering how effortlessly Gilbert took him down.

But we do not forget that Muhammad has gaps in his defense and he can miss an extra one, so it is better to bet on his victory with a free bet from 1xbet to be on the safe side. Yes, the champion's desire to show "Canelo's hands" is great, but otherwise, there are no ways to victory for the challenger. Belal does not get tired, takes a punch and is now at his peak.

Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena Prediction

What else can I add to the above? Yes, it's hard to believe that Jack will succeed with his skill set, but a long absence from the cage can bring surprises. Muhammad has a pretty good stand-up and is head and shoulders above in wrestling, so there's no point in considering an upset.

Considering that the odds for the champion's victory are not particularly good, we will also take into account the bet on the duration of the meeting. It has a good chance of going into the 4-5 round, which is what we will start from. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Belal Muhammad wins/Total Over (3.5) by rounds