Prediction for the Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo fight

In pursuit of a rematch with Merab Dvalishvili, former title challenger Umar Nurmagomedov is faced with defeating Deiveson Figueiredo. However, it's not "The Machine" he's after now, but Yan. At UFC 324, Umar will face "The God of War," and looking at the odds, it seems like a fight with Petr is already secured. But is that really the case? Let's take a broader look at the situation.

• Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo;
• Umar Nurmagomedov;
• Deiveson Figueiredo;
• Comparative analysis;
• Game Totals Prediction.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo

Umar Nurmagomedov

The odds on Umar winning the fight against Bautista paid off, but he remained ranked No. 2. Prior to that, Nurmagomedov suffered his first career loss, to Dvalishvili. Before that, he'd won 18 straight, satisfying the bettors who backed him.

Umar, a champion in the GFC league, was ranked number one in the world in combat sambo, and also collected several bonuses from the UFC.

Strengths

Nurmagomedov has a strong background in Muay Thai and wrestling, which allows him to successfully combine these styles in the cage. Fast, durable, and with a strong submission game, Umar is ready to break down opponents vertically, crushing them with kicks and punching combos, then making forays to the ground, where he has a keen sense of positioning and the best moments to attack.

Weaknesses

In analyzing Umar's weaknesses, we previously noted that in dynamic fights, where there are many positional changes with transitions from standing to the ground, which forces him to do much more work, he weakens functionally and gets hit, but there were few opponents equal to him.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

The 30-year-old fighter, having returned to winning form, aims to secure a title shot within six months of his upcoming fight. Umar is actively improving his overall endurance and expanding his arsenal, as the loss to Merab took a toll on him, but on the bright side, he's still on track for progress.

Deiveson Figueiredo

The Brazilian has left the top 5, but as a former champion, winner of numerous UFC awards, and a black belt in jiu-jitsu, he is still considered a significant force in the top 10.

Figueiredo's bets on a victory twice failed to materialize: Jan and Sandhagen prevented this, but in the last match, Deiveson defeated Montel Jackson.

Strengths

Deiveson can still knock out and break opponents, but it doesn't happen as often as before. He has polished Muay Thai and a good understanding of the ground game, but "Figa"'s greatest asset is experience.

Weaknesses

The former champion has been steadily reducing his activity in the octagon, doing the bare minimum to win, but no longer going all out like he once did. The veteran is increasingly stagnating, not showing the same reaction as before, and not chasing finishes—age is taking its toll.

The current form and readiness of the fighter

Deiveson is 38 years old, which is critical for the bantamweight division. In his last fight, he defeated a middleweight by a close decision, which says a lot for a once-dominant fighter. Yes, his arm power still makes him dangerous. But let's be honest: Figueiredo has no business competing in the top three.

Comparative analysis

Umar has the advantage in terms of size, age (8 years old), and overall freshness, as he's suffered far fewer injuries during his career and isn't as worn out. In terms of arsenal, the two are much more evenly matched, with the only difference being that Nurmagomedov now lands almost twice as many impact strikes, goes for takedowns more often, and certainly doesn't stand still, waiting for his opponent to make moves, like Figueiredo.

This is precisely where the Russian's success will lie – it's easier and more comfortable for Deiveson to get to his feet, as he puts his leg forward and doesn't move. Yes, there's a risk of taking a knee, but any risk will be covered by a free bet on a deposit from 1xbet, and there won't be any problems. Standing up, Umar will be more accurate and difficult to hit, so the Brazilian will only have one advantage in the overall fight: a heavy punch. Otherwise, there won't be close competition.

Umar Nurmagomedov vs Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction

Of course, odds of 1 to 11 are too much, and Umar is unlikely to easily finish off the former champion in the first round. Moreover, Deiveson is very explosive at the start, and it's best not to play games with him, demonstrating your superiority—he might not forgive you.

But over three rounds, Nurmagomedov will earn his points thanks to his higher work rate. Since betting on Umar to win is better in an accumulator bet, as the odds are completely uninteresting, we'll also bet on the fight's duration. Install the 1xbet app and place a bet on the favorite!

Prediction: Nurmagomedov wins/3rd round starts/Overall (2.5)